Fountain of Youth day picks at Gulfstream

Happy Fountain of Youth day!Mohaymen-The-holy-bull9-credit-lauren-king.jpg

Lots of great racing today down in Hallandale Beach,  13 races, 8 stakes and some full field allowance races make this a handicappers dream.  Everyone is excited for the Fountain of Youth and to see Mohaymens next step on the way to the Florida Derby and Kentucky Derby after that.  He should be a short price, but it will be hard to beat him.  Lets dive into this card and try and weed out some winners. With 13 races we are going to breeze through a couple so we aren’t here all day!

Race 1

3-6-7   DUFFLE BAG might be able to control the pace on his own, and if he’s lone speed, then he will be dangerous to catch off his last where he went wire to wire.  NOHOLDINGBACK BEAR looks dangerous, I just don’t like putting horses trying something for the first time on top.  This is his first grass try.

Race 2

3-8-1   OSORNO ran visually very impressive in both his races.  Should be able to clear today and take them wire to wire.  CAPITAL CITY should sit a perfect stalking trip and should be tough to deal with.

Race 3

5-7-10   DIRECT MESSAGE wasn’t going to catch lone leader Gettysburg in his last.  Still ran well and should sit right off the pace today for Albertrani whos at 18% at this meet.  MAJESTO will graduate one of these days, always tries hard might have been a bit to far back in last.  DIG DEEP will try to wire the field from a difficult outside post.

Race 4

5 X Y JET looks almost unbeatable in the Gulfstream Park sprint.  His last 3 races have been breathtaking and he may be second best sprinter in the country behind Runhappy.  The only knock is the connections said its a prep for Dubai, but even at 75% he should be able to dust this group.

Race 5

4-5-2  I know I’m going against the grain here picking LEWIS BAY, to upset CATHRYN SOPHIA, but I just cant take 1/5 on a horse and that’s probably what shell be.  Lewis bay has looked very good in her 3 races and while there are distance questions for Sophia, Lewis Bay has already won going longer and her breeding says she’ll love it.  Also Chad Brown can get them ready off the bench.

Race 6

2-4-8   Longshot HOLD HARMLESS is very intriguing. Very impressive maiden breaker and then given some time to rest.  Last 2 works have been really nice for Shug and should sit off and make one run at them.  LIRA Hasn’t done anything wrong in her 3 starts, will be the first to challenge the favorite when theal running begins.  CATCH A GLIMPSE, is a deserving favorite off the Breeders Cup win.  First race back, might need to shake off some rust and might also be prepping for bigger and better. Trying to beat.

Race 7

1-11-9  Maybe GAP YEAR needed her last race, she finished 7th but did only get beaten 1 1/2 lengths. I think she likes settling right off the pace instead of having the lead.  Having the rail, she can get a good position right behind the speed here, should be dangerous if she runs to that Saratoga race.  SPARKLE FACTOR made a great rally in her US debut, might need the race but Clement can have them ready to fire off the bench on the turf.  OFF LIMITS is a first time US runner for Chad Brown who is 23% with this type of runner.

Race 8

8-1-3   HEART TO HEART is super hot right now, last 2 races were so impressive.  Horse he beat came back to win the G1 in his next start, with the 3rd place finisher not far behind.  Not much other speed signed on, can probably set his own pace.  TOWER OS TEXAS hasn’t run since September, but was a very tough customer all summer long at Woodbine.  LONG ON VALUE, is 1-1 on this course, runs well fresh and shows some nice works for this.  Shouldn’t be to far off a slow pace.

.20$ Rainbow 6 ticket  8/5-8/7-9-10-14/5-6-8-9-11/2-6/1-4-10

Race 9

5-8-1   I really like HOPE CROSS in this spot.  Just needs to get a little racing luck and she can finish one of these races off.  Hopefully Bravo can settle her off the pace and find the right seem turning for home.  You don’t want to stop a horse like this’ momentum when she’s making her run.  Same can be said for PARTISIAN POLITICS, these closers usually make their own trouble by being so far back, but if she gets a clean trip she has an explosive turn of foot.  CELESTINE will be a pace benefactor from her rail spot, should have first run on the others.

Race 10

7-14-9   THATCHER STREET has been ultra consistent and just lost to Heart to Heart in his last, who has won 2 in a row.  Should be able to sit right off the pace, and if he’s ready off the lay off will be very tough. TAPITATION is interesting from way outside, great race last out, tough at 10-1. As a longshot, I love THREE ALARM FIRE.  Have always liked this horse, disappointed lately but tries turf, has big turn of foot, needed the last race, should be sharper now, and that last turf work was very good.

Late Pick 4 play   5-7-9-14/5-8-9-11/2/1-4-10   24$

Race 11

11-6-5-8  CONVERGE hasn’t been seen since Oct but he made a 7wide run and just missed in a minor stakes at Belmont.  Must have impressed Castellano and he stays here and leaves last out winner.  URBAN BOURBON, has run some quality races.  Winning 2 back and just missing in a G3 last out.  Small vacation to freshen up and should sit a great trip just off the pace.  Maiden KISMET’S HEELS had trouble in both starts, if he gets a clean trip he can win this.  Longshot SCHOLAR ATHLETE ran wide and closed into a slow pace last out, promising future on turf.

Race 12

2-6-4   I know its going to be hard to beat MOHAYMEN but ZULU might be the one who can do it.  I can picture Awesome Speed and Awesome Banner going out to the lead and Zulu sitting right off the pace and getting jump on MOHAYMEN.  He hasn’t raced on a dry surface yet, but trains great over it.  If he can rate off the speed and get the jump on the big boy, he might be able to shock today.  What can you say about MOHAYMEN? undefeated, gorgeous looks, runs fast.  Deserving favorite.  Out of the two speed horses, I see AWESOME SPEED hanging around longer.

Race 13

4-1-10   BILLYS KITTEN, took monmey first out but didn’t fire.  Chad gave him 7 weeks to get ready for this one and adds blinkers.  Dangerous.  AMERICAN PATRIOT looked awfully good in his only race, rallying to just lose by 3/4 of a length. If CITE can not lose to much ground from the outside post, he will be tough to deal with coming from mid pack.

If you’re playing along with us, good luck today! Spread the word about us!

Advertisements
Fountain of Youth day picks at Gulfstream

California Chrome and other World Cup thoughts

So California Chrome looked pretty great yesterday, beating a bunch of overmatched opponents in his World Cup prep.  Sitting right off the pace, three wide, he made his move on the turn and never looked threatened.
So this sets him up perfectly for the World Cup in 4 weeks which could have the strongest US lineup in recent memory. Waiting for him is Frosted, winner of his prep in Dubai, he looked as good if not better then Chrome. The real question is if jockey Joel Rosario will be back in time from his injury to be in dubai. Also expected are Keen Ice, Hoppertunity, Mshawish, among a few others. This race is shaping up to be a great edition of the 10 million$ race.

California Chrome and other World Cup thoughts

My thoughts on a good day of racing, and some free picks as well!

One Saturday closer to the only Saturday everyone has on their minds, Derby Saturday! In that spirit we have a great prep in the Risen Star with a full field. Fairgrounds also has a very strong and deep supporting stakes schedule as well.  Unfortunately, When I opened todays form at Gulfstream, I thought it was a Wednesday afternoon card in July, it was so weak.  I don’t think I’ve seen a weaker Saturday card at the Gulf winter meet recently.  Its so bad, not what I’ve come to expect down there. An lets dive in….

Gulf race 1gulfstream_00

7-9-2  DABRIA should be tough here, dropping a level after a wide run last time and not getting beat to much. Another dropper DUCHESS BIRD looked like she was going to be tough in her last but fattened out, should like the easier company.

Gulf race 3

7-2-5  I loved GREY GLORYs maiden win last out, should sit a similar trip breaking from the outside here.  DEEP SEA has run 3 consistent high buyers, I am throwing his last race out because I just think he is better then that, love the last work, showing he’s ready.  JUAN AND BINA is not a favorite I want any part of, stuck at this level for a while, just doesn’t ever seem to want to finish the deal.  You can have him at 2-1 or 9/5

Gulf race 4

1-5-2  SHARP AZTECA looks like he could be fast enough to grab the lead here in what I think is a pace less race. Got bumped in his last and set fast fractions before tiring, should get an easier trip today.  SINGLETON, plodded along ion his debut, got a modest number, few works since have been fast so maybe the light bulb has been turned on, if closer to the ace then last time, he has a shot. Sticking with the slow pace I’m foreseeing, EQUINE PERFECTION also might sit a good stalking trip.

Gulf race 6

1-5-4  Ill admit GINGER GOOSE doesn’t like to win, loves to come in second, I just Feel with the switch to Rosario, that should get the job done, as he is probably the finishing rider out there.  ARE WE NOT MEN drops into this group off two good efforts against better.  DUVAL ST for Dale Romans should also appreciate the drop In class.

Gulf Race 9

5-11-10  STOCKYARD was 23 lengths out of it in his debut, rallied to only lose by 6.  Nice set of works for Pletcher since and shouldn’t be that far back today, big shot.  COMMEND, has the look of a real contender for Mott with a nice debut and some nice follow up works, just might get caught wide from the 11 hole. MONTAUK MAN just missed last out and beat my top choice will be tough to deny again.

Pick 4 Play    5-11/1-6-9/3-6/2-6-10    $18

Gulf 12

2-10-6  TWO STEPS FORWARD wont have to take many steps forward to win this, in fact a duplicate of his last is probably good enough.  First timer MAKE IT COUNT should be difficult to keep out of the payoffs for Chad Brown and Rosario, long steady works, should be ready to go.  With a good amount of trouble in his last, ADD FOUR should be coming late.

FAIRGROUNDS STAKESstageplay11-1%20400

Race 5   In the Mineshaft Handicap I’m going to lean towards EAGLE turning the tables on INTERNATIONAL STAR, hoping he can get the jump on him and that Int’star regresses off his last huge performance.  4-3-2

Race 6   A turf allowance, I like TREND to get up this time with a cleaner trip then he got last. HAMMERS TERROR will also be tough off the layoff for Maker. 6-10-4

Race 7   CLEARLY NOW looks awfully tough in this spot with some speed to run at. 6

Race 8   The ultra consistent STREET OF GOLD will be tough to hold off in this one.  She always comes with her run.  NOTTE D’ORO and speedy CASH CONTROL are also live looks. 3-10-9

Race 9   STAGEPLAY will be very tough here but at short odds, I like her stablemate at much better odds, ROYAL OBSESSION. Should be able to close into a some what fast pace.  9-8-4

Race 10  I’m hoping the jockey change to Castellano will help ROMAN APPROVAL turn the tables on ultra tough  CHOCOLATE RIDE. BLARP has an outside shot to upset.  3-6-8

Race 11 The big one, the Risen Star, derby points are on the line here.  I like TOMS READY to turn the tables on his stablemate MO TOM.  Two really good works since, showing he’s fresh and ready, coupled with the switch to Johnny Velasquez make the difference. Until AIROFORCE shows me he can do it on a fast main track, I cant put him on top, tons of talent though. 8-2-10

My thoughts on a good day of racing, and some free picks as well!

Lets try the Rainbow 6 today at gulfstream

Not a big pick 6 player, mainly a pick 3 and 4 guy but sometimes the pot gets so high you got to take a shot!

Here it is in all its glory, this is before scratches so I apologize in advance if someone scratches out after….

8/6-9-12/2/3-6-9/3/1-2-3-4-5-6-8-10

Lets try the Rainbow 6 today at gulfstream