Happy Fountain of Youth day!
Lots of great racing today down in Hallandale Beach, 13 races, 8 stakes and some full field allowance races make this a handicappers dream. Everyone is excited for the Fountain of Youth and to see Mohaymens next step on the way to the Florida Derby and Kentucky Derby after that. He should be a short price, but it will be hard to beat him. Lets dive into this card and try and weed out some winners. With 13 races we are going to breeze through a couple so we aren’t here all day!
3-6-7 DUFFLE BAG might be able to control the pace on his own, and if he’s lone speed, then he will be dangerous to catch off his last where he went wire to wire. NOHOLDINGBACK BEAR looks dangerous, I just don’t like putting horses trying something for the first time on top. This is his first grass try.
3-8-1 OSORNO ran visually very impressive in both his races. Should be able to clear today and take them wire to wire. CAPITAL CITY should sit a perfect stalking trip and should be tough to deal with.
5-7-10 DIRECT MESSAGE wasn’t going to catch lone leader Gettysburg in his last. Still ran well and should sit right off the pace today for Albertrani whos at 18% at this meet. MAJESTO will graduate one of these days, always tries hard might have been a bit to far back in last. DIG DEEP will try to wire the field from a difficult outside post.
5 X Y JET looks almost unbeatable in the Gulfstream Park sprint. His last 3 races have been breathtaking and he may be second best sprinter in the country behind Runhappy. The only knock is the connections said its a prep for Dubai, but even at 75% he should be able to dust this group.
4-5-2 I know I’m going against the grain here picking LEWIS BAY, to upset CATHRYN SOPHIA, but I just cant take 1/5 on a horse and that’s probably what shell be. Lewis bay has looked very good in her 3 races and while there are distance questions for Sophia, Lewis Bay has already won going longer and her breeding says she’ll love it. Also Chad Brown can get them ready off the bench.
2-4-8 Longshot HOLD HARMLESS is very intriguing. Very impressive maiden breaker and then given some time to rest. Last 2 works have been really nice for Shug and should sit off and make one run at them. LIRA Hasn’t done anything wrong in her 3 starts, will be the first to challenge the favorite when theal running begins. CATCH A GLIMPSE, is a deserving favorite off the Breeders Cup win. First race back, might need to shake off some rust and might also be prepping for bigger and better. Trying to beat.
1-11-9 Maybe GAP YEAR needed her last race, she finished 7th but did only get beaten 1 1/2 lengths. I think she likes settling right off the pace instead of having the lead. Having the rail, she can get a good position right behind the speed here, should be dangerous if she runs to that Saratoga race. SPARKLE FACTOR made a great rally in her US debut, might need the race but Clement can have them ready to fire off the bench on the turf. OFF LIMITS is a first time US runner for Chad Brown who is 23% with this type of runner.
8-1-3 HEART TO HEART is super hot right now, last 2 races were so impressive. Horse he beat came back to win the G1 in his next start, with the 3rd place finisher not far behind. Not much other speed signed on, can probably set his own pace. TOWER OS TEXAS hasn’t run since September, but was a very tough customer all summer long at Woodbine. LONG ON VALUE, is 1-1 on this course, runs well fresh and shows some nice works for this. Shouldn’t be to far off a slow pace.
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5-8-1 I really like HOPE CROSS in this spot. Just needs to get a little racing luck and she can finish one of these races off. Hopefully Bravo can settle her off the pace and find the right seem turning for home. You don’t want to stop a horse like this’ momentum when she’s making her run. Same can be said for PARTISIAN POLITICS, these closers usually make their own trouble by being so far back, but if she gets a clean trip she has an explosive turn of foot. CELESTINE will be a pace benefactor from her rail spot, should have first run on the others.
7-14-9 THATCHER STREET has been ultra consistent and just lost to Heart to Heart in his last, who has won 2 in a row. Should be able to sit right off the pace, and if he’s ready off the lay off will be very tough. TAPITATION is interesting from way outside, great race last out, tough at 10-1. As a longshot, I love THREE ALARM FIRE. Have always liked this horse, disappointed lately but tries turf, has big turn of foot, needed the last race, should be sharper now, and that last turf work was very good.
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11-6-5-8 CONVERGE hasn’t been seen since Oct but he made a 7wide run and just missed in a minor stakes at Belmont. Must have impressed Castellano and he stays here and leaves last out winner. URBAN BOURBON, has run some quality races. Winning 2 back and just missing in a G3 last out. Small vacation to freshen up and should sit a great trip just off the pace. Maiden KISMET’S HEELS had trouble in both starts, if he gets a clean trip he can win this. Longshot SCHOLAR ATHLETE ran wide and closed into a slow pace last out, promising future on turf.
2-6-4 I know its going to be hard to beat MOHAYMEN but ZULU might be the one who can do it. I can picture Awesome Speed and Awesome Banner going out to the lead and Zulu sitting right off the pace and getting jump on MOHAYMEN. He hasn’t raced on a dry surface yet, but trains great over it. If he can rate off the speed and get the jump on the big boy, he might be able to shock today. What can you say about MOHAYMEN? undefeated, gorgeous looks, runs fast. Deserving favorite. Out of the two speed horses, I see AWESOME SPEED hanging around longer.
4-1-10 BILLYS KITTEN, took monmey first out but didn’t fire. Chad gave him 7 weeks to get ready for this one and adds blinkers. Dangerous. AMERICAN PATRIOT looked awfully good in his only race, rallying to just lose by 3/4 of a length. If CITE can not lose to much ground from the outside post, he will be tough to deal with coming from mid pack.
If you’re playing along with us, good luck today! Spread the word about us!